The cauldron bubbling in Egypt could spill over and burn a number of its neighbors. Not the McDonalds coffee type of superficial skin scald. The burn will be third degree, deep into the muscle which supports their fragile governments and desperate populations. From No. Africa to the rim of Asia there is not one Arab
state that can be considered stable, and offering a decent standard of living to their inhabitants. The oil sheikdoms, Dubai, Oman, Quatar are the exceptions because they have an artificial prosperity supported by oil. Without the oil their magnificent buildings would revert to sand dunes.
Egypt has been the anchor and foundation of what could be the revival of a great
civilization rivalling the Byzantine. Using modern technology in place of a grazing
economy, the deserts could be made to bloom once more, as the Israelis have demonstrated. With adequate grains, fruits, vegetables and animal husbandry the populace could supply its own needs with a surplus for export to get foreign
currency for capital development. Using that capital to develope infrastructure that
would support high tech manufacturing, their large populations could grow into
a light industry economy. But if Egypt falls the example would be disastrous. The
mullah led Jihadists would control everywhere. Anger, hate and envy would be the
behavioral norm. There is a surplus of that allready. America, do all that you must
to assure this revolution succeeds!
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2 comments:
Marty,
I so much agree with your assessment that I am almost ashamed to post my own commentary.
If only Tunisia or Yemen or Jordan was the issue I would be in complete agreement but Egypt is a completely different story. Egypt has a culturally refined capability of handling almost anything thanks to their 30 years of autocratic rule and the thousands of years previously when freedom of opinion would never have been accepted.
No Egyptian will tolerate "dumbing-down" again. That is a huge success story for the "free world" and all the other Islamic fiefdoms are obviously watching this major departure very closely because it could well mean the end of their empires, also. The Egyptian story is highly significant for anyone who is willing to notice.
I believe Egypt's current transitional problems will soon become the template for major change in similarly stifled cultures.
As of today- Friday Feb 4 2011- The situation in Egypt is still evolving. Will the regime of pro western and well remunerated Mubarak or his successor going to continue? Or worse are the Islamists going to seize power before the current democratic protesters are able toestablish an egalitarian government?
Let us hope that we are not heading for a new Nasser with international trade compromised by a blocked Suez canal.
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